Category Archives: Inflation

Crude’s Cheap; Government Is Expensive

Debt, Energy, Inflation

In “THE GOODS ON GAS,” it was explained that the deliberate and destructive policies of deficit spending are responsible for the steady rise in the prices of all commodities, crude included. This is so because deficit spending is “accompanied by an enormous increase in the stock of money,” as economist Henry Hazlitt explained in Economics in One Lesson.

Prices are rising due to the sustained policies of credit expansion pursued by a profligate government. More fiat currency in the system means that every unit is worth less. The coin is debased.

All correct, except for one thing, says Forbes’ Louis Woodhill.

Oil prices aren’t high right now. In fact, they are unusually low. Gasoline prices would have to rise by another $0.65 to $0.75 per gallon from where they are now just to be “normal”. And, because gasoline prices are low right now, it is very likely that they are going to go up more—perhaps a lot more. What the politicians, analysts, and pundits are missing is that prices are ratios. Gasoline prices reflect crude oil prices, so let’s use West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil to illustrate this crucial point.
As this is written, West Texas Intermediate crude oil (WTI) is trading at $105.88/bbl. All this means is that the market value of a barrel of WTI is 105.88 times the market value of “the dollar”. It is also true that WTI is trading at €79.95/bbl, ¥8,439.69/barrel, and £67.13/bbl. In all of these cases, the market value of WTI is the same. What is different in each case is the value of the monetary unit (euros, yen, and British pounds, respectively) being used to calculate the ratio that expresses the price.
In terms of judging whether the price of WTI is high or low, here is the price that truly matters: 0.0602 ounces of gold per barrel (which can be written as Au0.0602/bbl). What this number means is that, right now, a barrel of WTI has the same market value as 0.0602 ounces of gold. …

MORE.

Together, Forever, In Hock

Debt, Inflation, Morality

“Americans have over $886 billion in credit card debt, a figure that’s expected to rise to $1.177 trillion this year. More specifically, the report stated that each card holder has an average credit card debt of $5,100 and this number is projected to reach $6,500 by the end of the year.”

AND:

“The average U.S. consumer has a debt-to-income ratio of 150% … The ratio never exceeded 80% during the 1960s and 1970s.”

[FOX News has more.]

Government debt is, as Judge Napolitano put it, “so high, so insurmountable, so incapable of being repaid because the Republican leadership caved, that we have returned to business as usual; meaning that the government will not attempt to repay the debt. When various parts of it become due, the government will just roll it over and borrow more. This will go on until a large enough group in the Congress has the courage to say stop.

[SNIP]

Still on the topic of “values,” a preponderant number of Americans share the values of their leaders, at least when it comes to finances.

One Of The Risikiest Things in America: Hiring Somebody

Barack Obama, Debt, Economy, Federal Reserve Bank, Inflation, Labor, Regulation

For real, clear economics, it’s hard to beat financier Peter Schiff. Here is some of the text of his testimony to the gathering of crooks known as Congress. Pearls before swine, if you ask me:

“We stimulated our way into this problem [“the housing bubble and the financial crisis of 2008”]. We are not going to stimulate our way out. In fact the stimulus is actually a sedative. The stimulus is preventing the free market from unraveling the problems of years of bad monetary and fiscal policy have created. We don’t need more spending. We need the opposite of spending. We need under consumption, what the economy lacks is savings, investment, production and if we try to preserve the jobs of the bubble economy with more reckless money printing and borrowing and government spending all we are going to succeed in doing is preventing the restructuring that we need and preventing more productive jobs from coming into existence.”

“And I wanna talk specifically about jobs, I’m an employer, I employ about 150 people. I would probably employ a 1000 more if it were not for government regulations that inhibited my ability to hire and grow my business and forced me to move portions of my business overseas in order to escape the regulatory burden here. But the question is why do I hire people where are these jobs coming from, you know, jobs in a free market, ah, they come from two things, they come from profits, or the profit motive or they come from capital. You need both to create jobs. And in a free market there’s gonna be jobs and if they’re aren’t enough jobs, Congress has to ask: ‘What are we doing to inhibit this process? How are we preventing jobs that would normally be here from coming into existence?'”

“Now, in order for me to hire somebody, I have to be able to make a profit. That means that the person I hire has to deliver to me more value than the cost of the employing them. And the cost of employing them is not just the wages I’m paying them but it’s all the mandatory benefits, the taxes, and more importantly the legal liability that I incur when I hire somebody. Source: LYBIO.net In fact, one of the riskiest things you can do in America is to hire somebody. And because of that reason, because of all the liability from Government, from lawsuits, that you have put on employers, most small businesses their main concern is how not to hire people. How can I grow my business and hire as few people as possible. That is not something that happens in the market. That is something that happens as a consequence of Government…”

“…Demand doesn’t come form government spending; inflation comes from government spending. Demand comes from supply. You can’t consume something that isn’t produced. You have to make things first. …”

“There are millions of employed Americans. How do you increase the demand for labor? You decrease the cost of labor. Regulations substantially increase the costs of employing people and as a result fewer people are employed.”

Schiff recommended that no more regulations be added and that congress begins to repeal existing regulations. Minimum-wage laws for example.

“You can’t lose your rights because you hire somebody; you can’t give workers some kind of special privily and then call it a worker’s right. Everybody has individual rights and you shouldn’t lose them because you hire somebody.”

“Bad regulation did not start under Obama. The problem with well meaning regulation is that the consequences are the exact opposite of the intent. Infrastructure spending doesn’t stimulate the economy; it drains the economy of resources. Infrastructure only helps in the long run if it raises the productivity of the nation. China can afford to put in roads. We are broke. We need to start making stuff before we can consider how to make our roads prettier.”

“99% of a [small/medium-size business’ income] is taxed at the marginal rate, so that the marginal rate is my rate. Feds take 35% of my income, another 3% for Medicare, local tax in the state of Connecticut (7%), and this is before I pay any property or sales taxes. I am already moving business to Singapore, the Caribbean. We are a high tax country, not a low tax country.”

“You can only borrow if someone is saving. There is a lender. The has to be something in it for the lender has to have something in it. Currently the banks are getting money from the government and buying treasuries, monetary policy that is stifling the savings that we need to grow the economy. You can always see the jobs that government creates, you can never see the jobs it destroys. All government can do is re-arrange the resources; it cannot create resources.”

“A sales tax should replace income tax. It would be much more conducive to tax people when they spend their wealth, not when they accumulate it.”

“Deficit spending is more damaging than taxation….”

“Interest rates [as we know] are being kept low. When they rise to approximate market rate, what effect till this have on business? banks which are kept afloat by the cheap money from the Fed will go insolvent. Their portfolios are loaded with low-yielding, long-term government bonds … keeping interest low creates inflation…”

“Henry Ford paid his workers $5 a day. Highest in the world at the time; an ounce and a quarter of gold. $2500 a week. They were paying no federal incomes taxes and no payroll taxes; there were no minimum wages and no unions. We paid the highest wages in the world but produces the best least expensive products. that was possible b/c we had the smallest government. Minimal regulations and no taxes. …”

[SNIP]

Notice how silent Dr. Heather Boushey, to Schiff’s right, has fallen—she is a popular panelist on the panel parade that infests cable, PBS, and the other networks.

Another thought: Ron Paul, who does not argue nearly as crisply and clearly as Schiff does, will need to make common cause with Mr. Schiff. Peter Schiff: United States Secretary of the Treasury in a future Paul cabinet.

(The partial transcript is provided by LIBIO. I improvised the rest.)