Category Archives: Elections

Liberal Pollsters & Media Collude To Skew Polls

Democrats, Donald Trump, Elections, Hillary Clinton, Media, Pseudoscience

As I told a despondent pal and the spouse, not for a minute did I believe polls that depicted a flight to Hillary Clinton’s camp in the wake of Orlando. The opposite. Lying liberal pollsters and their media enablers were just doing what they always do: oversampling Democrats and liberal voting blocs. This Sierra Rayne at American Thinker confirms. “Corrected Gravis poll has Trump well out in front of Clinton at national level”:

After an onslaught of highly liberal biased polls against Donald Trump during the past week, it was refreshing to see an only modestly biased poll – in relative terms – released on Saturday by Gravis.

In its biased form, the poll shows Trump only 2% behind Hillary Clinton in the head-to-head matchup, far below the ridiculously large Clinton leads of up to 12% that Bloomberg and other leftist media outlets have been oozing of late.

But once we correct for biases in this Gravis poll, Trump is undoubtedly now well out in front of Clinton.

In the poll’s demographics, 40% of respondents said they were Democrats compared to just 33% who were Republicans. This 7% Democrat advantage is almost assuredly about 6% above where it should be – meaning Clinton’s narrow 2% lead should likely be upward of at least a 4% deficit behind Trump.

Further evidence of liberal bias in the poll comes from questions about Tea Party support, abortion, religious affiliation, and education.

Just 11% of those surveyed said they were members of the Tea Party. This value should be about 17%, suggesting – as with the party affiliation – about a 6% liberal bias.

The poll also shows a 17% advantage to pro-choice over pro-life, well above the known 6% spread in favor of pro-choice. This signifies a major liberal bias in the demographics, as the pro-choice side has not had an advantage larger than 10% since the 1990s.

When it comes to religious affiliation, the poll oversampled Muslims (2% versus 1%) and Catholics (25% versus less than 21%) and looks to have massively undersampled Evangelicals (10% versus 25%), resulting in more liberal bias. Evangelicals will vote dominantly for Trump, whereas Muslims and many Catholics are likely to lean toward Clinton.

A full 50% of the poll’s respondents had a bachelor’s degree or higher, compared to 34% in reality, introducing more liberal bias.

Based on the full range of liberal biases present, a reasonable estimate of Trump’s actual lead over Clinton is in the range of at least 5% once the polling data is corrected.

MORE (Warning: sticky site).

Corey Lewandowski’s A Class Act; What About Those Who Got Him Fired?!

Donald Trump, Elections, Family, Relatives, Republicans

Corey Lewandowski is a class act. His loyalty to Donald Trump and his admiration for the candidate are unmistakable and admirable in the face of a cruel sacking. Yet, the rumor goes, Trump heeded the Pink Brigade within his campaign (his daughter and her houseboy), and fired this man, who has the generally hostile Dana Bash, leftist reporter from CNN, eating out of his hand. (This feat takes talent Trump doesn’t have.) Ivanka is a decorative lovely girl, but she’s no Corey. She doesn’t have his core beliefs. When she speaks, you get the impression she’s more liberal than she lets on.

Ivanka, moreover, is consumed with the shallowness of brand. Via Politico:

… Lewandowski was someone who had to go because he was identified with the early, primary-season version of Trump that, according to recent polls that show Hillary Clinton with a widening lead, is not likely to be enough to get him into the White House. According to POLITICO, “Ivanka Trump, especially, was said to be concerned about the effect of Lewandowski on the Trump family brand.”

The dismissal of Lewandowski is a blemish on someone who prides himself for his loyalty. Yet Trump loyalists refuse to say it, because they’re turning into blind followers.

Another bad omen: Establishment Republicans, masters of branding, rebranding and bullshit, are thrilled about the ousting of Lewandowski.

As is Megyn Kelly and her protege Michelle Fields, tartlet and false accuser. Both were overjoyed, feeling vindicated, presumably.

CNN:

For months, tension had been building within the Trump campaign and small circle of advisers. Simultaneously, a quiet campaign to convince the New York billionaire to cut Lewandowski loose was gaining traction.
The breaking point: Lewandowski had gone one step too far by targeting Trump’s family.
The relationship between Lewandowski and Jared Kushner, the husband of Trump’s daughter, Ivanka, grew increasingly strained.
Fired Trump campaign manager: ‘No regrets’
Rumors that Lewandowski had attempted to plant negative stories in the press as part of a broader strategy to “take Jared down” sealed Lewandowski’s fate, sources said.
Multiple sources told CNN that Ivanka Trump and Kushner were central to Donald Trump’s ultimate decision to fire Lewandowski.

UPDATE II (6/10/016): Sanders And The Superdelegate Swindle

Democrats, Donald Trump, Elections, Hillary Clinton, Left-Liberalism And Progressivisim

Granted, Hillary Clinton hasn’t won the Democratic nomination soley because of the superdelegate swindle. As NBC reported, “She’s way ahead in votes and pledged delegates—that is, those picked by voters—too.”

Still, this does not mean the superdelegate set-up is not ripe with conflict of interest and corruption. Every second Democratic pundit pontificating on TV admits to doubling up as a superdelegate for the Democratic Party. How many Dems in Congress and the Senate are super-swindlers?

This is excerpted from my book, “The Trump Revolution: The Donald’s Creative Destruction Deconstructed,” due out by June’s end:

Like Trump, Bernie Sanders has appealed to his restive base over the heads of the DNC. Alas, the populist Left’s favorite son has been sidelined by similar forces, not least the superdelegate subterfuge, where Party Bosses such as President Obama, Vice President Biden, former President Bill Clinton and his vice president, Al Gore—superdelegates all—get to tip the scales of justice.

We are still quite civilized in our electoral wheeling-and-dealing, but this is a thin cultural veneer. The American electoral process is cleverly corrupt, as I pointed out in “Banana Republicans.”

UPDATE I (6/9): “HISTORY! Trump Shatters Republican Primary Vote Record by 1.4 Million Votes”:

Hillary Clinton pulled out the win with more delegates than socialist Sanders. However, nearly a quarter of her delegates came from controversial ‘super delegates’. Her road to the Democratic nomination was far less impressive and may also go down in history because she may be under indictment before the November election.

UPDATE II (6/10):: ‘Define irony’ say folks on Facebook:

UPDATED (4/6/018): Swollen Heads At National Review Exposed

America, Elections, Family, Labor, Neoconservatism, Political Economy, Race, Republicans, Welfare

National Review’s Kevin D. Williamson “reached peak leftism” when he declared his sympathies were “more with John Brown than John Calhoun,” in an article titled “We Have Officially Reached Peak Leftism” (June 24, 2015). In 1856, Brown’s free-soil activists snatched five pro-slavery settlers near Pottawatomie Creek, Kansas and split the captives’ skulls with broadswords, in an act of biblical retribution gone mad.

So it’s not that surprising that Williamson’s exquisite moral compass has led him to wish death upon white, working-class America. According to Breitbart.com, Williamson wrote this:

The truth about these dysfunctional, downscale communities is that they deserve to die. Economically, they are negative assets. Morally, they are indefensible. Forget all your cheap theatrical Bruce Springsteen crap. Forget your sanctimony about struggling Rust Belt factory towns and your conspiracy theories about the wily Orientals stealing our jobs. Forget your goddamned gypsum, and, if he has a problem with that, forget Ed Burke, too. The white American underclass is in thrall to a vicious, selfish culture whose main products are misery and used heroin needles. Donald Trump’s speeches make them feel good. So does OxyContin. What they need isn’t analgesics, literal or political. They need real opportunity, which means that they need real change, which means that they need U-Haul.

This is not passionate writing; it’s plain hateful. Whatever merit there is in the indictment of working-class Americans—a case made well by political scientist Charles Murray, in “Coming Apart: The State of White America, 1960-2010”—this ain’t it. Williamson writes in arrogance and contempt.

But, as further divulged by Breitbart, another National Review staff writer feels as Williamson does. He is David French (the object of my new column, “Someone Should Tell Bill Kristol Dwarf Tossing Is Cruel”). The Weekly Standard’s Bill Kristol’s candidate to run an independent presidential campaign is down with Williamson:

[French] described Williamson’s piece as “excellent” and said that Williamson’s words were “fundamentally true and important to say.”

French went on to dismiss the struggles white working class Americans endure.

“Citizens of the world’s most prosperous nation, they face challenges — of course — but no true calamities,” French wrote.

While French suggests that the decline of America’s middle class and manufacturing power is no true calamity, others could argue that the greater a nation or culture, the more sorrowful it is to witness its decline — much the same way that history would mourn the destruction of the Palace of Versailles more than the totaling of Justin Bieber’s car.

French insists that the devastation of the working-class’ livelihoods is unrelated to failed federal policies such as mass immigration …

I hate the, “Would he be saying this if … ” game. But I’ll indulge this once. It’s apposite. Would Williamson and French ever lay into the black underclass with the same degree of venom?


MORE AT “Bill Kristol’s Candidate: It’s ‘Important to Say’ White Working Class Communities ‘Deserve to Die.’”

RELATED: “Someone Should Tell Bill Kristol Dwarf Tossing Is Cruel.”

UPDATED (4/6/018): Kevin D. Williamson, so blood thirsty.