China At Sixty

Capitalism, China, Communism, History

“Assessing China at 60,” by Melissa Chan of Al Jazeera (one of the best news sources, incidentally):

Sixty years after Mao Zedong’s communists took power in Beijing, there are many reasons for China to celebrate.

China today has become the third-largest economy in the world – second, if you measure it by purchasing power parity – and is well on track to cement its place as the world’s foremost economic superpower.

And while it has been exciting to count the numbers of new millionaires – or billionaires – created every year, the country has also managed to pull 500 million of its people out of poverty over the last few decades.

Of course, we also hear much about China’s worsening wealth disparity: Not exactly everyone is sharing in the wealth.

China’s environment has paid a heavy price for economic growth.
And all these economic changes have come at a heavy price for China’s environment, in the form of dead rivers, poisoned land and toxic air.

Then there are the increasingly frequent reports of unrest and rioting. Frightening numbers of people – often in the tens of thousands – with their complaints.

After six decades of communist rule, there is much for the government to worry about.

They need to watch the mass migration of farmers who have deserted their lands to find work in the city.

There is the corruption, which many ordinary Chinese tell us is getting worse, not better.

It is a story of transformation in often too little time. For every miracle or success story, there is a counter example amongst the disenfranchised.

Growing pains

China’s rise is a complex story and often contradictory – a hallmark of the growing pains of this new world power.

The one thing that rose above all the din of contradiction, the one thing most Chinese can all agree on, is that life is better today than in the past.

On the road for our Long March series of reports, retracing a key episode in the communist’s rise to power, this is what the Chinese we met told us.

The founding of the People’s Republic on October 1, 1949 brought an end to a bitter civil war between Mao’s communists and the nationalist Kuomintang, led by Chiang Kai-shek.

The communist’s struggle has become the stuff of lore, particularly the epic Long March. Its importance is still emphasized every day.

Turn on the TV and you will almost always come across a documentary replaying the black and white footage from the 1930s and 40s: The Red Army fighting the Japanese, the Red Army fighting the Kuomintang, communist cadres talking to the people, Mao Zedong speaking to farmers.

But, the documentaries will tell you, there was no greater historic event than the Long March.

Spreading the message

The Chinese call it “the walk that lasted 25,000 li”, that is 12,500 kilometres.

No one can confirm the actual distance of the march, but it did take two years and killed about nine out of 10 participants.

It was a military retreat from their civil war opponents, and by most circumstances would have been considered a defeat.

But it allowed the communists to spread their message across a huge swathe of China, where they won the support of the peasantry – which was, and still is, the largest demographic in the country.

It was on the backs of the farmers then, that Mao’s communists rose to power.

We started our trip in Jiangxi Province where the communists declared the Chinese Soviet.

This was their own republic, their little world where they would experiment with what they had read in books, in theory, and now implement them in real life.

But the communists did not end up spending too much time here. They would abandon their Soviet, routed by the Kuomintang army, so beginning their Long March.

Today, the town of Ruijin is as comparatively quiet as it had been back then.

We stopped by Liang Chong Deng’s family. They have always been here, generation after generation. But now, Liang told us, he is not sure how much longer the family will stay on the land.

His son and daughter, he tells us, are not farmers but work in the city. They would not know how to grow anything if they ever returned to their plot of land.

Our next stop retracing the march was Sichuan province, in China’s southwest.

By the time the Red Army reached here, half the soldiers were gone, from death, desertion or illness.

Much of Sichuan is mountainous, deeply forested and even today access is often difficult.

Years ago, the Red Army soldiers would have gone through on nothing but shoes made of straw, or barefoot, in bedraggled uniforms, hacking their way through unmarked territory.

Today, Sichuan is a major tourist area, widely known as the home of that great Chinese icon, the giant panda.

But it would have been hard for any Red Army soldier to imagine it as a friendly place.

The tribes in the area – Tibetans and a minority group known as the Yi – used to doggedly ambush the line of marchers.

Unrest

Today, Sichuan still has large Yi and Tibetan populations, but the dynamic is a very different one than that from history.

It would be difficult to recognize someone from the Yi minority – they speak Chinese like everyone else. The Tibetans are easier to identify, many of them with their prayer beads.

When Mao set out to defeat the Kuomintang, he said he also hoped to unify the country – and that meant including these so-called ethnic minorities.

Most, like the Yi, have integrated into greater China relatively easily. But the Tibetans, as we saw in the recent outbreaks of unrest, remain deeply disenchanted with Chinese rule.

Other ethnic riots earlier this year in the western region of Xinjiang, home to Muslim Uighurs, revealed that, after 60 years of communist rule, some of the most entrenched obstacles to uniting China’s people remain untackled.

The final stop on our road trip was Yan’an, the resting place for the Red Army – the end of their Long March.

Tourists today swarm the caves where Mao Zedong and other top revolutionaries used to live.

They holed up here for years, rebuilding the army and refinancing their revolution using cash earned from the region’s oil wells.

Today, the area around Yan’an remains an important source of oil to fuel China’s booming economy. Wells are visible everywhere, dotting the brown hills.

At the end of the road, you wonder if the China of today is what the first generation of revolutionaries had in mind and whether they believed that they achieved their vision of utopia back in 1949.

China as it is in 2009 would hardly be recognizable to them.

But what the early revolutionaries would certainly agree with today’s Chinese about, is that China today is a strong and powerful country and one that the rest of the world should take notice of.

The Plan For Iran

Iran, Israel, Russia, War, WMD

In the days and weeks ahead, the political Demopublican machine will fog up the Iran matter to such a degree that seeing the forest from the trees will become impossible for the average war-starved American (a default position, it would seem).

For the purpose of formulating a principled position, here’s something of what you need to consider: With all its posturing, Iran is preparing a time table for inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency. The Iranians will want to pretend they are calling the shots, so to speak. Saving face is a very crucial component of the culture, in case American multiculturalists have not figured that out yet.

The IAEA did a good job in Iraq; when they reported in 2002 that Iraq had been cleansed from WMD, they were 100 percent correct, although “Powell, Rumsfeld, Cheney and Bush never stopped gabbling about a reconstituted Iraqi nuclear-weapons program, chemical and biological blights, Scuds and squadrons of unmanned aerial vehicles streaking U.S. skies, and traveling laboratories teeming with twisted scientists.”
(And some members of the fantasy-based community still believe “the weapons” are in Bashar al-Assad’s basement.)

So long as its inspectors are fully engaged with Iran, the Iranian crisis will remain a manufactured one, drummed up by interested parties: Iranian exiles and the usual American armchair warriors.

Recall, as the US was ramping-up for war against Iraq, Hans Blix, Chief United Nations weapons inspector, and Dr. Mohammed ElBaradei were crisscrossing Iraq, scouring the place for WMD. The two had turned Iraq into a CSI-like crime scene:

“From November 2002 to January 2003, Blix conducted approximately 300 inspections of more than 230 different sites in Iraq. Of these, more than 20 had hitherto not been inspected. (He set up field offices in Mosul and Basra, places he could never hope to access today.) Despite this empirical exercise, the fantasy-based community asserted that ‘All the Western intelligence services – the UN itself – stated with certainty that this thug had and was hiding WMD?'”

Please read my account at the time of Blix’s efforts in “INK STAINS AND BLOOD STAINS” and “What WMD.”

Dislike for these operatives doesn’t change that what they reported comported with reality, perfectly.

Israel, unlike America, acts in its self-interest. So it is natural that Israelis would, overall, encourage the world to help diminish their own plight vis-a-vis Iran. However, a man I really like, the hard rightist Avigdor Lieberman (foreign minister) is “being criticized for aligning his policies with those of Moscow.” That’s telling. And what is the position of Moscow? Foreign minister Sergei Lavrov told Russian news agencies “that although [the] Iranian’s missile exercise was worrying, restraint was needed. An official communiqué urged ‘Western powers to restrain themselves.”

That seems reasonable at this point.

Beating Back The Feds

Constitution, Federalism, Political Philosophy, States' Rights

States across the country are rediscovering and reasserting the Tenth Amendment to the Constitution:

The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people.

“Quaint, I know, but to the federal government were delegated only limited and enumerated powers (Article I, Section 8): 17 to be precise. Most everything it does these days is extra-constitutional.”

The latest States’ Rights push-back (via the New York Times):

“In more than a dozen statehouses across the country, a small but growing group of lawmakers is pressing for state constitutional amendments that would outlaw a crucial element of the health care plans under discussion in Washington: the requirement that everyone buy insurance or pay a penalty.”

“Approval of the measures, the lawmakers suggest, would set off a legal battle over the rights of states versus the reach of federal power — an issue that is, for some, central to the current health care debate but also one that has tentacles stretching into a broad range of other matters, including education and drug policy.”

Update II: Bachmann & Paul Against Bernanke

Federal Reserve Bank, Foreign Policy, Iran, Liberty, Military, Politics, Ron Paul, War

I like the idea of a Ron Paul and Michele Bachmann ticket. Paul needs no introduction, but Bachmann is bright in the way Palin isn’t; she is intellectually curious in the way Palin is not (this accounts for why she has beefed up her knowledge of the Fed and is familiar with Tom Woods’ Meltdown); she is attractive, and she drives liberals stark raving mad. (Or madder)

Here Bachmann introduces Paul:

And here is Paul:

Update (Sept. 28): With respect to “Hot Air,” advanced hereunder by Haym as an ostensible source of credible opinion; it isn’t. Credible news, quite possibly, but not opinion. At least not on foreign policy. And not on this site. (Yeah, the adventure in Iraq was fun wasn’t it!) This is a libertarian site; Hot Air is neoconservative. We’ve adjudicated the last 8 years of foreign policy here on BAB in blog posts and in article on IlanaMercer.com. My perspective, which comports with that of Paul, albeit with some differences, has been vindicated. I’m surprised war mongers are unrepentant, and are still be plumping for preemptive war against countries that have not aggressed against the US given the lessons of Iraq. I guess when it’s not your kid who’s hobbling around on prostheses or dead, it doesn’t much move the mind, much less the heart. The “isolationism” pejorative is lobbed by neoconservatives when they wish to discredit those of us who believe in fighting just wars only. It’s like pacifist.

Update II (Sept. 29): I am sure Myron has preordered his copy of “Going Rogue: An American Life.”